Argentiinan talous on ajautunut tekniseen taantumaan

"Argentina's economy has slipped into a technical recession, with leading private consultancies estimating a second consecutive quarterly contraction in July-September, La Reforma reported on November 1.

The General Activity Index compiled by consultancy Orlando Ferreres y Asociados shows a 1.2% fall in the third quarter, while the Center for Quantitative Studies in Business (CECN) at the University of San Andres estimates a drop of up to 2.66% from the second quarter, the paper reported. Analysts have cut their forecasts for 2026 growth to about 1% or less: Eco Go now expects 0.8%, Equilibra, FIEL and Empiria about 1%, and LCG treats 1% as a ceiling.

The International Monetary Fund had already cut its forecast for Argentine growth this year to 2.1% from 3.5% in its World Economic Outlook on October 13 [5], and the central bank's own survey of analysts lowered its estimate to 1.5% in early October.

Nearly three years into President Javier Milei's programme, the shock therapy that balanced the budget and broke hyperinflation has not delivered growth. The data now point the wrong way on almost every front at once: output is falling, disinflation has stalled above 30%, formal jobs are disappearing, peso lending is shrinking in real terms and the country risk premium has more than doubled since July. Milei has rejected the diagnosis, insisting in September that "there is no recession", only "a slowdown in the pace of expansion", and has challenged the official data that show it."

https://www.intellinews.com/argentina-slides-into-technical-recession-a…