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Kuinka Covid-19 leviää yhdysvalloissa ja miksi sitä ei ole pystytty pysäyttämään

Vierailija
22.03.2020 |

Hyvä artikkeli, sama on toistumassa Suomessa.

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/03/how-many-americans-a…

Olennaisia kohtia alla

[quote]
King County, in which Seattle and Kirkland sit, had a plan, of course. ... Except for one thing. ... “There will be a need for heightened global, national and local surveillance.” Surveillance is public-health jargon for testing and the system that surrounds it. The planners knew there would be a need; they barely considered that it would not be met.
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In late January, as Bedford began to warn public-health officials, there remained, according to the president, nothing to worry about. “We have it totally under control,”
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If there is one thing about the novel coronavirus that you must understand, it’s that it is a firecracker with a long fuse. ... Every six days, the number of people infected by the disease doubles, according to estimates from Bedford and other epidemiologists.
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[quote]
An invisible fuse sets off this burst of disease. If someone is infected with the coronavirus on Monday, she may start being contagious and infecting other people by Wednesday. But she may not start showing symptoms until Friday—meaning that she was spreading the virus before she even knew she had it. And in some cases, infected people take 14 days to start showing symptoms.
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Both of these factors mean that time is of the essence. This virus hides effectively and doubles quickly, but it kills slowly and painfully, and it kills most effectively when medical care isn’t available.
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As the CDC struggled to find a solution, other laboratories tried to bring their own tests online. They found themselves hamstrung by the FDA, which, though it repeatedly loosened the rules, could not move as fast as the coronavirus.
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[quote]
All the way to February 26, only 102 specimens, or perhaps 50 people, had been tested by those labs. Overall, the CDC had tested fewer than 500 people. If the U.S. had a small number of cases, it was only because no one was looking for them. ... Perhaps because of the wildly constrained supply of tests, the criteria to get one were strict. You basically had to go to Wuhan, lick someone, and then develop pneumonia.
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In fact, as Trump spoke, the virus had reached a nursing home in the Seattle suburb of Kirkland, where it has so far killed 35 residents.
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Almost no one was getting tested, so how could anyone find a new case? A few days earlier, a state-by-state investigation by The Atlantic found little evidence that more than 2,000 people had been tested nationwide.
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Lyhyesti: Mikään toimenpide ei ole liian raju epidemian taltuttamiseksi.

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